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Richard Galustian

Libya Update: What's Really Behind the Airport Firefight?

Wednesday January 17, 2018

Continuing from my OpEd of the 11th January entitled "Libya Update: Power Struggles Continue - Will the UN Get its Way?", dramatic further evidence of my assessment came in the form of reports of intense fighting that started over the weekend and dramatically escalated this Monday, in the Libyan capital, Tripoli, leaving over twenty dead and over 60 wounded and the airport closed in flames. 

However those reports by mainstream media still fail to mention the most significant casualty of all: The United Nations peace process, called the LPA.

For two years UN diplomats have struggled to make something of the government they created -- the Government of National Accord (GNA) -- a creature that was supposed to unite Libya and bring peace to a shattered nation. 
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Libya Update: Power Struggles Continue - Will the UN Get its Way?

Thursday January 11, 2018

On Wednesday a former distinguished US State Department official who has now switched jobs to work for the UN, Jeffery Feltman, as Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs, arrived in Tripoli. His visit came as the UN’s efforts to implement the Libyan Political Agreement (LPA) continue to face political deadlock with justifiable fears from the UN that their efforts look lightly to fall apart.

Given the decades Feltman spent as part of the US State Department, he will no doubt be perceived by the Libyans to be speaking for America as well as the UN.

It first must be said that Libya is a prime example of the failure of US and Western interventionist foreign policy. The US, EU, and UN would be doing everyone a favor if it kept its noses out of Libyan business.
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Libya - Trump Jumps Back In

Saturday December 2, 2017

For over a year, the United States has been disengaged from Libya’s turmoil, with President Donald Trump declaring America had “no interest” in its interminable civil war.

That all changed Friday December 1st, when the President abruptly announced a rethink in a meeting with the head of Libya’s UN-backed Government National Accord, Fayez Sarraj to declare his “commitment to helping the Libyan people realize a more stable, unified, and prosperous future.”
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Libya: A New False Dawn

Friday November 24, 2017

Albert Einstein once said that the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results. That quote is worth bearing in mind when assessing the chances of the latest United Nations peace plan for Libya.

Every autumn, along with the falling leaves, comes a new UN plan for ending Libya’s civil war, now into its fourth year.

Like the plans before it, the current version of the United Nations Support Mission for Libya has superficial attractions.

It proposes a new slimmed-down version of the government the UN itself installed in Tripoli two years ago, cutting the number of its presidency from nine members to three, one chosen from each of the country’s three regions.
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Libya Update: ISIS Moving in?

Sunday October 15, 2017

ISIS and its head Abu Bakr Al Baghdadi have publicly declared that Libya will be its next home now that ISIS is being driven out Syria and Iraq.

It was reported recently that a former CIA Station Chief, one Daniel Hoffman, a distinguished career intelligence officer who served in the past in Russia, Iraq, and Pakistan, hypothesized ISIS’s regrouping strategy.

Hoffman specifically makes one particular point which many have been predicting for months: Essentially that ISIS needs a new base of operations following its loss of Raqaa and it has selected two potential sites in Libya.
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Libya Report: Gaddafi for President?

Monday September 25, 2017

In a one-on-one interview on Saturday with France 24, Head of the United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) Ghassan Salame said Saif Al-Islam Gaddafi can of course be part of the forthcoming political process under the auspices of the United Nations along with other qualified candidates.

Saif Gaddafi, the son of the late Colonel, could become Libya's President, said UN envoy Salame, which suggests the United States and the bulk of the UN have officially or unofficially approved that statement. This is an extraordinary development.
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Libya Update: A Clash of Egos

Wednesday September 20, 2017

Libya has two rival governments and parliaments, as well as several militia groups aligned to both sides, and some "independent" ones, battling to control its oil wealth. 

Inexplicably for many, the only one that is recognised is called the Government of National Accord (GNA), totally unelected by the Libyan people, consisting of a handful of Ministers and headed by an architect. All of these were chosen by the UN, which also selected as Prime Minister, Faez Serraj who resides mostly in Tunis and intermittently visits Tripoli and a few other parts of Libya, dependent on the good graces of the mercenaries calling themselves Militias that get paid for their service to the GNA, underwritten for them by the UN no less.
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Libya Update: Russia Changes the Game

Tuesday August 15, 2017

A totally unexpected strategy emerged on the Russian side after yesterday's meeting with Field Marshall Haftar in Moscow. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's announced shift in Russian policy, couched in appropriate diplomatic language as shown in his Press Release below, changed Russia's game plan at a stroke. It appears that the Russian government has totally endorsed the United Nations track on Libya, saying it was was the right and only way to go and that the dodgy Paris Accord of the 25 July was the basis for peace.
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Libya Update: Western Governments Still Eyeing Libyan 'Prize'

Tuesday August 8, 2017

More than six years after the US-led "liberation" of Libya, that North African country remains an open wound symbolizing the abject failure of US and European interventionist foreign policy.

The obsession of the US neocons, whether Democrat or Republican, for "regime change" and other frivolous foreign military interventions has been consistently and eloquently criticized by the likes of Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY), Congressman Trey Gowdy (R-SC), Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) and not least by former Congressman Ron Paul, to name but a handful.

Since our last Libya report of 27th July over a week ago, the ceasefire "brokered" by French President Macron at his Paris Summit with Libyan National Army head Khalifa Haftar and UN-backed prime minister, Fayez al-Sarraj is in reality nowhere to be found.
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Libya Report: New Wrinkle in US Plan For Gaddafi-Free Libya

Thursday July 27, 2017

Field Marshall Khalifa Haftar, head of the Libyan National Army, has stated that former Libyan ruler Muammar Gaddafi's son, Saif Islam, "is free and in a safe place." Haftar further said he welcomed the idea of the younger Gaddafi playing some sort of political role in Libya's future. 

In an interview (Arabic) with Al-Hayat newspaper, Haftar also stressed that he had no problems with moderate Muslim Brotherhood members but could never deal with the extremist elements. 

The recent talks in Paris between Haftar and UN-backed Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj were little more than a "show," an attempt to stage manage an impression of a Libyan unity government. It failed!
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