In the aftermath of the suspiciously ill-planned and ill-executed coup attempt in Turkey, the government of President Erdogan has shut down the US military base in Incirlik. According to Stars and Stripes, the Turkish government, after putting down the partial military revolt, has closed the airspace over the US base at Incirlik and has even turned off the power to the base. In response, the US has placed troops on base at the "highest force protection level."
The Turkish government has said that normal operations at Incirlik will resume once the "anti-coup operations end." Part of those "anti-coup operations," however, include a demand that the US turn over exiled Turkish cleric Fethullah Gulen, currently living in Pennsylvania:
This demand was underscored by the Turk prime minister who today seemed to declare war on the US:
The US has, to this point, allowed Gulen to remain in the US, thereby "standing by" the cleric. It is a dramatic and rarely-seen standoff between two NATO allies and it is hard not to await with bated breath the outcome.
Council on Foreign Relations senior fellow Micah Zenko is terrified at the thought of a US loss of use of Incirlik:
US loss of access to Incirlik would practically end coalition use of it, as US forces + contractors provide vast majority of everything.— Micah Zenko (@MicahZenko) July 16, 2016
But the way he explains it may actually be the solution to the problem of US intervention in Syria, particularly as it is on behalf of "moderates" who routinely partner with ISIS and al-Qaeda.
If a loss of Incirlik (which insanely -- particularly in light of this reminder of the instability of our NATO "partner" -- is home to part of the US tactical nuclear arsenal) means an end to the illegal US bombing and ground operations in Syria then one can only hope that Erdogan sticks to his guns.
The French are learning nearly monthly what blowback for their government's aggressive foreign policy looks like. If we want to avoid similar carnage in our cities we should all hope for an end to Incirlik (and to the rest of the US overseas empire). Our safety and security depends on it.
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